Nikoloz Basilashvili vs Sebastian Baez Head-to-Head Stats, Results & Performance Comparison

• How do recent second serve performances compare? Basilashvili has a slight edge with 47.47% of points won, compared to Baez's 45.87%.
• In return games, Baez has been more successful, claiming 48.49% of points on their opponent's second serve, while Basilashvili wins 47.15%.
• Who is more effective on first serve returns? Baez significantly leads, winning 31.26% compared to Basilashvili's 23.39%.
• Under pressure, Basilashvili slightly outperforms, saving 50.66% of breakpoints, with Baez at 49.3%.
• Over the past year, Basilashvili has had a better match win rate at 58.11%, whereas Baez has won 42.22% of his matches.
• On clay, Baez excels with a 69% career win rate, while Basilashvili holds a 56% win rate on the same surface.
• Recently, Basilashvili has been competing mainly in Challenger/ITF events, with a 57.14% success rate, contrasting Baez's 57.69% win rate on the Main tour.
• What is the quality of their opponents? Baez has faced tougher competition, playing against an average rank of 84.64, while Basilashvili's opponents average at 201.72.
• If the match goes to a deciding set, Basilashvili has a strong advantage, winning 57% compared to Baez's 32%.
• In breakpoint conversion, Basilashvili slightly edges out with 34.48% to Baez's 34.15%.

Editorial Prediction (September 17, 2025, UTC):

This upcoming tennis match promises to be a competitive battle, featuring two players with unique strengths and weaknesses. Based on recent second serve performances, Basilashvili appears to have a marginal advantage over Baez.

However, Baez demonstrates superior return game capabilities, particularly against first serves, which could prove crucial in this matchup. Despite this, Basilashvili's ability to save breakpoints under pressure and his higher win rate over the past year suggests he is a formidable opponent in tense moments.

The players' historical performance data on clay shows Baez as the stronger contender, though Basilashvili's experience and win rate on this surface should not be underestimated. Notably, Basilashvili's success rate in deciding sets could be a deciding factor if the match goes the distance.

In light of these insights, while both players have areas where they excel, Basilashvili is likely the favorite to emerge victorious in this upcoming match due to his overall consistency and ability to contend under pressure.